Model track record

Every value pick the odds board showed, graded at the first price shown, one unit each.

Since Saturday 24 October 2026

Picks 2 1 won, 1 lost
Profit −0.24 u the model expected +0.10 u
Return −12.0% the model expected +4.9%
Closing-line value – beat the close on – of picks
0 −0.24
0 −0.24
Profit Expected profit If the model's chances are right, profit lands inside the band 19 times in 20: −2.38 to +2.57 u so far.
How picks are graded
  • A pick is a price the odds board flagged as value on a main line: at least three bookmakers quoting it (one for team and total shots, which only one bookmaker prices), odds between 1.40 and 4.00, and a model edge of 3–25%.
  • It is locked at the first price and bookmaker shown, even if the price moves before faceoff.
  • One unit per pick. Picks shown before the lineup was confirmed count the same, and nothing is removed afterwards.
  • Settled on the full game, overtime included. Exactly on the line is a push. A player who does not play is void and is not counted.
  • Results appear the morning after the game. Tonight's picks stay on the premium odds board until then.

Value prices are an estimate, not a guarantee. BetProps compares odds; it does not take bets.