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Model Prices are live for saves, shots on goal and shot totals

New

Our model now prices four NHL markets: goalie saves, player shots on goal, team shots and total shots.
Premium shows our fair odds next to every bookmaker and shades prices that pay more than fair. The darker the green, the bigger the expected return.
We only show a price when we trust it.
A projected lineup is marked ○ until it is confirmed, and value on those prices is hatched as tentative. Players with little data or a changed role get a flag beside their name;
tap it to see why. When our model is far from the market, which early in the season usually means it needs more games, we don't price the player at all. You'll see a red flag and 'Needs data' instead. The home page has a new 'Best prices tonight' board. Everyone sees the best bookmaker price on shots on goal and saves compared with the rest of the market. Premium also sees our model's value picks once lineups are confirmed. How it has held up so far: our team- and total-shots model was tested once on the 2024-25 season, on about 900 games it had never seen, against BetMGM's prices. Its under bets returned +16.6% on 364 team-shots bets and +14.7% on 324 total-shots bets. That's one season at one bookmaker, so we're checking it again on this season's games. Saves and player shots on goal don't have a result like that yet, so treat their prices as our estimate, not a proven edge. Model prices, not betting tip

Open to the odds board →